The first match in the 2019 NFL playoffs sees the 10-6 Buffalo Bills travel to the 10-6 Houston Texans.
Buffalo will be playing only their second playoff match this millennium, following their 10-3 loss at the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Wildcard round two years ago.
Since the NFL format changed to eight divisions back in 2002, the Bills have not won the AFC East. The New England Patriots won the division again this season, with a 12-4 record and 2-0 head-to-head record against their rivals from New York.
Meanwhile, the Houston Texans had already won the AFC South heading into week 17 and were able to rest most of their starters during their 35-14 loss at home to the Tennessee Titans, without affecting their playoff seed.
The Texans number 4 seed means they face the number 5 seed in the opening Wildcard game this weekend.
Houston have been made the early 4/6 favourites and -2.5 on the spread. We like Bill O’Brien’s side to cover the spread. With DeShaun Watson on offence they have a good passing game and a quarterback who can turn bad plays into positive ones.
Whilst the Bills do have a very good defence, they have little going for them on offence. Josh Allen may be a quarterback for the future, but he’s relying on scrambling and rushing for touchdowns too often as his passing game isn’t all there currently.
A returning JJ Watt to a well-rested defence will prove too much.
Pick: Houston Texans -2.5